I must admit that when Sam asked me to look at this system I felt it stood a good chance of success as it all seemed very logical, but unfortunately it didnt pan out that way.
The system is a laying system on the first goal scored in the match, but in order for there to be a lay, certain criteria needs to be met in the Betfair markets.
This is where the problems start for this system, as people will end up with different selections as they will look at the markets at different times.
I decided that for midweek games I would look at the markets at around 6pm to see if there were any lays, and at weekends 15 mins before the first game was due to kick off, otherwise you would spend far too long in front of the computer looking at the markets.
It is fairly simple to see if there is a bet, as there are only 3 things you need to check for each game.
The other problem is the price at which you are laying, as the norm is 11/2-6/1 its very rarely less than 11/2, and normally 6/1, this is for me too high.
With the lay price being 6/1 the system needs to acheive a strike rate of at least 87% to break even.
I do think that some months it will acheive that figure, but you only need a couple of games to go wrong on the day and you then need the next 12 to be right to get back your losses.
The system lost £114 over the 38 day test and the strike rate was 83%, it is now in the position of needing the next 12 matches to be correct in order to get the bank back to the original £1000.
I'm afraid this system isnt for me, and failed to perform well enough over the 38 days for me to recommend it.
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